$137,411 has traded on "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?" as of April 8, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Marke...
I mean, I’d argue the emoluments clause should apply here, because poly market isn’t limited to Americans, but given that the sources of counter bets are not really public, I can see why it might not. Damn, I guess the ToS of polymarket?
Trading by those who can influence the outcome — participants may not trade on any contract if they hold a position of authority or influence sufficient to affect the outcome of the underlying event.
So it is illegal - but whether it will stop people from doing it is a separate question.
The Polymarket rules are not laws. “Oops I broke the rules you caught me lol, looks like my crypto wallet’s banned now so I’ll have to make a new one in 5 seconds”
Is there anything to stop a staffer, or the man himself, from wagering a shit load on polymarket and then tweeting praise to Allah again?
And some point they just need to cut out the middleman and start selling ad space in politicians’ speeches.
as it was designed. bilking money from poor fucks with more money than sense.
Fun fact: no!
I mean, I’d argue the emoluments clause should apply here, because poly market isn’t limited to Americans, but given that the sources of counter bets are not really public, I can see why it might not. Damn, I guess the ToS of polymarket?
Shame is supposed to do that but some are immune to its effects.
From https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260320997513/en/Polymarket-Publishes-Enhanced-Market-Integrity-Rules-Across-Its-DeFi-Platform-and-CFTC-Regulated-U.S.-Exchange
So it is illegal - but whether it will stop people from doing it is a separate question.
The Polymarket rules are not laws. “Oops I broke the rules you caught me lol, looks like my crypto wallet’s banned now so I’ll have to make a new one in 5 seconds”