$137,411 has traded on "Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?" as of April 8, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Marke...
Trading by those who can influence the outcome — participants may not trade on any contract if they hold a position of authority or influence sufficient to affect the outcome of the underlying event.
So it is illegal - but whether it will stop people from doing it is a separate question.
The Polymarket rules are not laws. “Oops I broke the rules you caught me lol, looks like my crypto wallet’s banned now so I’ll have to make a new one in 5 seconds”
From https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260320997513/en/Polymarket-Publishes-Enhanced-Market-Integrity-Rules-Across-Its-DeFi-Platform-and-CFTC-Regulated-U.S.-Exchange
So it is illegal - but whether it will stop people from doing it is a separate question.
The Polymarket rules are not laws. “Oops I broke the rules you caught me lol, looks like my crypto wallet’s banned now so I’ll have to make a new one in 5 seconds”