but to say no one will surpass the US in the near term…
Who is going to surpass the US in two years in every metric? China is still a “second world” country and dependent on the West for many trades. And Russia is, well, very much past its prime; and after the war in Ukraine, the financial and social consequences will have both immediate and long term consequences for the country.
If the US power declines, and it is already happening, it will be gradual. It will not happen in five years but in another generation or two.
Who is going to surpass the US in two years in every metric? China is still a “second world” country and dependent on the West for many trades. And Russia is, well, very much past its prime; and after the war in Ukraine, the financial and social consequences will have both immediate and long term consequences for the country.
If the US power declines, and it is already happening, it will be gradual. It will not happen in five years but in another generation or two.