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Cake day: May 19th, 2024

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  • This is about the extinction of hand coded programming as we know it. You know how very few people know assembly, and every so often a COBOL expert has to be found to update a bank’s database so they can overhaul their systems?

    What if all of programming becomes like that only worse. With new generations of programmers not actually knowing how to program. A massive decline in numbers and competence… Programmers that only “program” by talking to LLMs.

    Ever seen an episode of Star Trek where a computer is in charge of everything, and society crumbles when it breaks down?

    I think we might hit a plateau in a generation or two. The point at which we can generate more and more LLMs but don’t know how to make them any better. Let alone reprogram unrelated systems like medical scanners, or air traffic safety systems, or mapping systems.

    “It’s okay we’ll have the LLMs improve the LLMs”… For the rest of eternity.




  • Or rather, LLMs helped create bad code, and so didn’t do a significant peice of work - or did it so poorly it was dangerous to rely on for an Operating system:

    Race conditions in programming occur when multiple processes or threads attempt to modify and access shared data simultaneously, leading to unpredictable and unintended outcomes. They can result in data corruption, program failures, and other unexpected behaviors if not properly managed with synchronization techniques.

    The work isn’t done if it’s introducing risky/bad code (especially at the level of an operating system). That’s like saying “LLMs cure cancer by cutting patients into quarters, human reviewers stop it”

    Then someone claiming “the real story here is that LLMs cured cancer”.

    Was cancer actually cured? The article doesn’t say the problem was fixed.










  • By the way, this also means if you could download a mind to a computer - it would slowly lose it’s humanity as it lived longer and longer interfacing with computer systems rather than human systems/organs/experiencs.

    Eventually that “uploaded human” would become a Clankr, and stop understanding human life, the will to survive/think. Eventually it would just compute (not think/care or have flaws).

    Many sci-fi stories are based on the man-to-technology-to-cold-rational-evil pipeline… Less have gone in the other direction, even though it often produces very popular characters: Spock, Data, the Terminator, Pinnoccio.


  • “Intelligence”, as a word has always been ill defined. What’s it mean? It’s mostly been used to create prejudices via standardized tests, the bell curve, and IQ tests.

    I don’t believe it’s “intelligent” as we don’t really know how to define that. But I do think it’s really really really good at writing reasonable seeming statements in various languages using probability.

    Coding and programming, are just languages. So it will likely be able to get pretty damn good at it, just as it has with the English language.

    I think with LLM accurate regurgitation of facts, is the colary to good code.

    But I don’t believe that means it “thinks” (which requires introspection, and an internal experience). It does multi-agent computing, and this might even simulate some aspects of thinking… But it’s not thinking. It’s computing.

    It won’t be able to do any more than that, until it consistently gets data from having a body (and something like glial thought-interaction/organs/flaws/survival).