China will not collapse. It produces too many goods and its economy is too strong. Birth rates aren’t a problem to the point that they undermine manufacturing.
If someone tries to tell you the story that China will collapse and they seem credible, just reach out to me. I have a bridge for sale that will help you short the Chinese collapse.
And if they’re not as xenophobic as some other countries I could mention, they could easily solve the population issue through immigration.
Every Chinese book I’ve read screams at me nationalism and xenophobia, be it modern fantasy, 50 years old detective series or comedy.
And immigration to China is - currently - heavily restricted. Like damn heavily. And you will not become a permanent resident, and there is literally 0 chance of becoming a citizen, unless you’re of Han Chinese descent, preferably first generation, preferably looking Chinese, and you can’t have dual nationality (from last census in 2020 about 17.000 people ever got a citizenship, which is what. 0.0012% of population? And the permanent residency in 2017 was about 10k total).
My country, Poland (about 38m people), grants more than that every year.
Chinese government does not seem to agree with you, considering its:
Pro natal policies
Heavy research into automation being sold as “to fill in labour gaps” (even though the gig work is skyrocketing)
Retirement age reforms increasing the retirement age
Chinese universities also do not agree with your flippant attitude and are literally alarmist about it:
Tsinghua projections (that accurately predicted peak of population) show halving the population (and that > 50% will be people over retirement age) by the year 2100:
https://www.dess.tsinghua.edu.cn/en/info/1226/2472.htm
On the other hand the dude who was saying something about collapsing in 3 years also didn’t knew what he was talking about.
China will be running out of people soon. Their birth rate has been in collapse.
1.4 billion people will disappear in just 3 years?
Their birth rate is “In collapse” because they already have a gigantic population that is too big.
China will not collapse. It produces too many goods and its economy is too strong. Birth rates aren’t a problem to the point that they undermine manufacturing.
If someone tries to tell you the story that China will collapse and they seem credible, just reach out to me. I have a bridge for sale that will help you short the Chinese collapse.
The problem is they modify goods, not produce them.
Intellectual property shouldn’t exist. If China wants to “steal” ram designs and sell them for cheaper, then LeT tHe fReE mArKeT wOrK
That’s simply not how the current economy works.
That’s a wholly different topic.
But they’ll still have plenty of people by 2030.
And if they’re not as xenophobic as some other countries I could mention, they could easily solve the population issue through immigration.
Every Chinese book I’ve read screams at me nationalism and xenophobia, be it modern fantasy, 50 years old detective series or comedy.
And immigration to China is - currently - heavily restricted. Like damn heavily. And you will not become a permanent resident, and there is literally 0 chance of becoming a citizen, unless you’re of Han Chinese descent, preferably first generation, preferably looking Chinese, and you can’t have dual nationality (from last census in 2020 about 17.000 people ever got a citizenship, which is what. 0.0012% of population? And the permanent residency in 2017 was about 10k total).
My country, Poland (about 38m people), grants more than that every year.
Yeah, this will probably have interesting consequences down the line, but not in 2030, and maybe not 2100 even
Chinese government does not seem to agree with you, considering its:
Chinese universities also do not agree with your flippant attitude and are literally alarmist about it:
Tsinghua projections (that accurately predicted peak of population) show halving the population (and that > 50% will be people over retirement age) by the year 2100: https://www.dess.tsinghua.edu.cn/en/info/1226/2472.htm
On the other hand the dude who was saying something about collapsing in 3 years also didn’t knew what he was talking about.
Imo, if they succeed in automating everything they probably will not have to care about drop in population either
Yeah, but if they started right now I bet they could pump out some new adults inside of 20 years.
They literally can’t.