I don’t see how anything they do can possibly affect what Chinese labs are doing. And that’s the only alternative to American labs right now. So, who are they going to convince exactly?
The point is to get laws passed in the US that create a moat for them as businesses. They don’t care about competing with China, they care about competing with the next YC cohort.
It’s possible they are going to push the chinese labs to do the same. Doubtful it will happen. So they’ll go back developing AI and pretend nothing happened
The problem for them could end up being that the economics simply don’t work. If more capable models are more power hungry, then operating them might be too expensive to justify. Or it could be that there are diminishing returns, and they simply can’t make a model that’s significantly better than the current frontier.
I doubt the Chinese companies will comply, even if they agree on the surface. Whoever releases the most powerful model when the truce ends, will have the advantage. If anything, research and training will continue, releases will slow down.
I don’t see how anything they do can possibly affect what Chinese labs are doing. And that’s the only alternative to American labs right now. So, who are they going to convince exactly?
The point is to get laws passed in the US that create a moat for them as businesses. They don’t care about competing with China, they care about competing with the next YC cohort.
It’s possible they are going to push the chinese labs to do the same. Doubtful it will happen. So they’ll go back developing AI and pretend nothing happened
The problem for them could end up being that the economics simply don’t work. If more capable models are more power hungry, then operating them might be too expensive to justify. Or it could be that there are diminishing returns, and they simply can’t make a model that’s significantly better than the current frontier.
I doubt the Chinese companies will comply, even if they agree on the surface. Whoever releases the most powerful model when the truce ends, will have the advantage. If anything, research and training will continue, releases will slow down.
They have no leverage over Chinese labs, and China has every incentive to continue developing this tech.