Can my agent help me seize the means of production? No? Fuck off Zuck.

Yeah it’s exactly a pattern with token choices, by introducing a statistical bias to the randomness in token generation. Quality isn’t affected because the model is still choosing from the best candidates for the next token. You’re right that to be effective they need a long enough input to get enough matches to be.

Computer code is also going to be less effective because code has a much more rigid structure dictated by language syntax rules, coding conventions, linters and formatters, etc.

These are not watermarks using hidden characters. Their approach is undetectable even with an IDE. For a sequence of tokens, an LLM predicts the most likely next token, with some amount of randomness between equally likely candidates. The “watermark” is to introduce a statistical bias to this randomness, by altering the probability distribution of generated text according some hash function with a secret key, thereby embedding a statistical signature into the text itself.

So if the text is “I like to eat __” the model might have 3 top candidates for the next word (apple/orange/banana) that would be chosen at random. Instead that choice will be biased towards one option according to their hash function. And then again “I like to eat banana __” (cake/pie/tart).

To verify a text, they look for the “watermark” by scanning the text and looking at whether sequences of tokens chocies fits their biased probability distribution or are truly random. Just one match doesn’t tell you anything, but if they see a consistent pattern over a 1000 word document, they can give a very high confidence that their model generated the text.

To a human it looks like nornal generated text, and the output quality isn’t affected much (or ar all). It’s much more effective on generated prose, and not very effective on computer code.